{"id":36614,"date":"2020-08-17T13:00:47","date_gmt":"2020-08-17T16:00:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/regiaonews.net.br\/2022\/?p=36614"},"modified":"2020-08-17T15:02:14","modified_gmt":"2020-08-17T18:02:14","slug":"mercado-financeiro-preve-queda-de-552-na-economia-este-ano","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/regiaonews.net.br\/2022\/2020\/08\/17\/mercado-financeiro-preve-queda-de-552-na-economia-este-ano\/","title":{"rendered":"Mercado financeiro prev\u00ea queda de 5,52% na economia este ano"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

\n

A previs\u00e3o do mercado financeiro para a queda da economia brasileira este ano foi ajustada de 5,62% para 5,52%. A estimativa de recuo do Produto Interno Bruto (PIB) \u2013 a soma de todos os bens e servi\u00e7os produzidos no pa\u00eds \u2013 est\u00e1 no boletim Focus, publica\u00e7\u00e3o divulgada todas as semanas pelo Banco Central (BC), com a proje\u00e7\u00e3o para os principais indicadores econ\u00f4micos. O mercado financeiro tem reduzido a proje\u00e7\u00e3o de queda h\u00e1 sete semanas consecutivas.<\/p>\n

Para o pr\u00f3ximo ano, a expectativa \u00e9 de crescimento de 3,50%, a mesma previs\u00e3o h\u00e1 12 semanas consecutivas. Em 2022 e 2023, o mercado financeiro continua a projetar expans\u00e3o de 2,50% do PIB.<\/p>\n

Infla\u00e7\u00e3o<\/h2>\n

As institui\u00e7\u00f5es financeiras consultadas pelo BC ajustaram a proje\u00e7\u00e3o para o \u00cdndice Nacional de Pre\u00e7os ao Consumidor Amplo (IPCA) de 1,63% para 1,67% neste ano.<\/p>\n

Para 2021, a estimativa de infla\u00e7\u00e3o permanece em 3%, h\u00e1 nove semanas consecutivas. A previs\u00e3o para 2022 e 2023 tamb\u00e9m n\u00e3o teve altera\u00e7\u00e3o: 3,50% e 3,25%, respectivamente.<\/p>\n

A proje\u00e7\u00e3o para 2020 est\u00e1 abaixo do piso da meta de infla\u00e7\u00e3o que deve ser perseguida pelo BC. A meta, definida pelo Conselho Monet\u00e1rio Nacional, \u00e9 de 4% em 2020, com intervalo de toler\u00e2ncia de 1,5 ponto percentual para cima ou para baixo. Ou seja, o limite inferior \u00e9 2,5% e o superior, 5,5%.<\/p>\n

Para 2021, a meta \u00e9 3,75%, para 2022, 3,50%, e para 2023, 3,25%, com intervalo de 1,5 ponto percentual para cima ou para baixo, em cada ano.<\/p>\n

Selic<\/h2>\n

Para alcan\u00e7ar a meta de infla\u00e7\u00e3o, o Banco Central usa como principal instrumento a taxa b\u00e1sica de juros, a Selic, estabelecida atualmente em 2% ao ano pelo Comit\u00ea de Pol\u00edtica Monet\u00e1ria (Copom).<\/p>\n

Para o mercado financeiro, a expectativa \u00e9 que a Selic encerre 2020 no atual patamar (2% ao ano). Para o fim de 2021, a expectativa foi ajustada de 3% para 2,75% ao ano. Para o fim de 2022, a previs\u00e3o passou de 4,9% para 4,75% ao ano e para o final de 2023, segue em 6% ao ano.<\/p>\n

Quando o Copom reduz a Selic, a tend\u00eancia \u00e9 que o cr\u00e9dito fique mais barato, com incentivo \u00e0 produ\u00e7\u00e3o e ao consumo, reduzindo o controle da infla\u00e7\u00e3o e estimulando a atividade econ\u00f4mica. Entretanto, os bancos consideram outros fatores na hora de definir os juros cobrados dos consumidores, como risco de inadimpl\u00eancia, lucro e despesas administrativas.<\/p>\n

Quando o Copom aumenta a taxa b\u00e1sica de juros, o objetivo \u00e9 conter a demanda aquecida, e isso causa reflexos nos pre\u00e7os porque os juros mais altos encarecem o cr\u00e9dito e estimulam a poupan\u00e7a.<\/p>\n

D\u00f3lar<\/h2>\n

A previs\u00e3o para a cota\u00e7\u00e3o do d\u00f3lar permanece em R$ 5,20, ao final deste ano. Para o fim de 2021, a expectativa \u00e9 que a moeda americana fique em R$ 5.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

fonte : Ag\u00eancia Brasil<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

A previs\u00e3o do mercado financeiro para a queda da economia<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":5111,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[25,94],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-36614","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-cidades","category-economia"],"yoast_head":"\nMercado financeiro prev\u00ea queda de 5,52% na economia este ano - Regi\u00e3o News<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/regiaonews.net.br\/2022\/2020\/08\/17\/mercado-financeiro-preve-queda-de-552-na-economia-este-ano\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"pt_BR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Mercado financeiro prev\u00ea queda de 5,52% na economia este ano - 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